Michael Smolens: Were Turner, Faulconer ever really in the hunt?
The election in San Diego County is now officially a wrap, with the Nov. 5 vote certified last week. Yet questions linger about how two marquee races ended with lopsided results despite millions of dollars being spent for unsuccessful challengers. County Supervisor Terra Lawson-Remer defeated former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer by nearly 13.98 percentage points. Mayor Todd Gloria was re-elected over police Officer Larry Turner by 10.7 points. Not to be overlooked is that the incumbents also had big money, institutional support from the Democratic Party, organized labor, and, in Gloria’s case, some business interests. Some analysts have suggested Gloria performed poorly, with a closer margin than other victorious incumbents while facing a political unknown. Still, it was a substantial, double-digit victory, given public concern over growing homelessness, city land transactions gone awry and general disgruntlement with the direction of municipal government. Finger-pointing within losing campaigns is a post-election ritual. But internal campaign surveys and public polls throughout the election have come under particular scrutiny — also a common staple of election postmortems. Polling is often used to persuade candidates and donors that a